Green bonds under financial stress

Authors

  • Ichwan Ichwan Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala
  • Taufiq C. Dawood Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala
  • Zia Thahira Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala
  • Wisnu Satria Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala
  • Mirzatul Kadri Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.53088/jerps.v6i1.2866

Keywords:

Financial Stress, Green Bond, Green Finance, GDP, Domestic Credit

Abstract

This study analyzed the relationship between financial stress and green bond issuance using a balanced panel of ten countries over the 2018 to 2023 period. A two-way fixed effects panel regression was employed to control for unobserved country specific and time specific factors. The findings showed that higher financial stress was associated with increased green bond issuance, indicating that green bond markets remained active during periods of financial pressure. GDP and domestic credit to the private sector also exhibited positive and statistically significant relationships with green bond issuance, highlighting the importance of macroeconomic capacity and financial intermediation. Inflation, by contrast, displayed a positive but statistically insignificant association. Additional analysis revealed no meaningful differences between advanced and non-advanced economies, and robustness checks confirmed the stability of the findings. Overall, the results suggested that green bonds represented a relatively resilient financing instrument under varying financial conditions and underscored the importance of supportive policy frameworks in fostering green bond market development.

References

Ahir, H., Dell’Ariccia, M. G., Furceri, D., Papageorgiou, M. C., & Qi, H. (2023). Financial stress and economic activity: evidence from a new worldwide index. International Monetary Fund. 2023(217), 1-131. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400257636.001

Anh Tu, C., Sarker, T., & Rasoulinezhad, E. (2020). Factors influencing the green bond market expansion: evidence from a multi-dimensional analysis. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(6), 126. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13060126

Aziz, T., Marwat, J., Mustafa, S., Zeeshan, A., & Iqbal, Y. (2021). Linkage between US financial uncertainty and stock markets of SAARC Countries. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(2), 747–757. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no2.0747

Baker, M., Bergstresser, D., Serafeim, G., & Wurgler, J. (2018). Financing the response to climate change: The pricing and ownership of US green bonds. National Bureau of Economic Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3275327

Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2009). Financial institutions and markets across countries and over time-data and analysis. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 4943. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-4943

Bruno, V., Dathan, M., & Kitsul, Y. (2024). Corporate Bond Issuance Over Financial Stress Episodes: A Global Perspective. International Finance Discussion Paper, 1390. http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/IFDP.2024.1390

Cameron, A. C., Gelbach, J. B., & Miller, D. L. (2008). Bootstrap-based improvements for inference with clustered errors. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(3), 414–427. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.956890

Flammer, C. (2020). Green bonds: effectiveness and implications for public policy. Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy, 1(1), 95–128. https://doi.org/10.1086/706794

Flammer, C. (2021). Corporate green bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 142(2), 499–516. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.01.010

Fu, Z., Chen, Z., Sharif, A., & Razi, U. (2022). The role of financial stress, oil, gold and natural gas prices on clean energy stocks: Global evidence from extreme quantile approach. Resources Policy, 78, 102860. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102860

Gianfrate, G., & Peri, M. (2019). The green advantage: Exploring the convenience of issuing green bonds. Journal of Cleaner Production, 219, 127–135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.02.022

Hale, G. B., Jones, P. C., & Spiegel, M. M. (2020). Home currency issuance in international bond markets. Journal of International Economics, 122, 103256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2019.103256

He, X., Mishra, S., Aman, A., Shahbaz, M., Razzaq, A., & Sharif, A. (2021). The linkage between clean energy stocks and the fluctuations in oil price and financial stress in the US and Europe? Evidence from QARDL approach. Resources Policy, 72, 102021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102021

IMF. (2025). Green Bonds. International Monetary Funds. https://climatedata.imf.org/datasets/8e2772e0b65f4e33a80183ce9583d062_0/explore

Kim, S. S., Nugroho, V., & Handoko, L. (2024). Competitions among sub-financial sectors and growth of green bond markets in ASEAN plus three countries. Managerial Finance, 51(1), 166–184. https://doi.org/10.1108/MF-04-2024-0299

Levine, R. (2005). Finance and growth: theory and evidence. Handbook of Economic Growth, 1, 865–934. https://doi.org/10.3386/w10766

Liang, C., Luo, Q., Li, Y., & Huynh, L. D. T. (2023). Global financial stress index and long-term volatility forecast for international stock markets. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. 88(1), 101825. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2023.101825

Macchiarelli, C. (2014). Bond market co-movements, expected inflation and the GBP-USD equilibrium real exchange rate. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 54(2), 242–256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2013.10.008

Mar’I, M., Seraj, M., & Tursoy, T. (2024). The Impact of Financial Stress and Uncertainty on Green and Conventional Bonds and Stocks: A Nonlinear and Nonparametric Quantile Analysis. Risks, 12(8). https://doi.org/10.3390/risks12080120

Mensi, W., Vo, X. V., Ko, H.-U., & Kang, S. H. (2023). Frequency spillovers between green bonds, global factors and stock market before and during COVID-19 crisis. Economic Analysis and Policy, 77, 558–580. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2022.12.010

Monin, P. J. (2019). The OFR financial stress index. Risks, 7(1), 25. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks7010025

Ozyesil, M., & Tembelo, H. (2025). The Role of Green Bonds in Financing Sustainable Energy Projects: Trends and Prospect. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 15(2), 370. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.16942

Pham, L., & Nguyen, C. P. (2022). How do stock, oil, and economic policy uncertainty influence the green bond market? Finance Research Letters, 45, 102128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102128

Reboredo, J. C., & Ugolini, A. (2020). Price connectedness between green bond and financial markets. Economic Modelling, 88, 25–38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2019.09.004

Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., & Yoshino, N. (2019). The way to induce private participation in green finance and investment. Finance Research Letters, 31, 98–103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.04.016

Tolliver, C., Keeley, A. R., & Managi, S. (2019). Green bonds for the Paris agreement and sustainable development goals. Environmental Research Letters, 14(6), 064009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab1118

Vermeulen, R., Hoeberichts, M., Vašíček, B., Žigraiová, D., Šmídková, K., & De Haan, J. (2015). Financial stress indices and financial crises. Open Economies Review, 26(3), 383–406. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11079-015-9348-x

Downloads

Published

2026-04-30

How to Cite

Ichwan, I., Dawood, T. C., Thahira, Z., Satria, W., & Kadri, M. (2026). Green bonds under financial stress. Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies, 6(1), 257–271. https://doi.org/10.53088/jerps.v6i1.2866